ConsumerSim

Consumer confidence forecasting

ConsumerSim Confidence Forecasts

Weekly-updated consumer confidence forecasts for three representative markets: US, EU27, and Japan.

Last Update --
Next Update --

Weekly forecast update

US, EU27, and Japan index paths

Monthly ground truth Weekly forecast
US --
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EU27 --
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Japan --
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Forecast explorer

Sentiment path switchboard

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Latest drivers --

Respondent simulation

Synthetic agent profiles

Hover a state marker to inspect the profile and monthly response path.

Historical results

Historical prediction results

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Forecast vs actual

Forecast Actual

Historical methods

Method comparison

-- Hover over the table to reveal additional methods.

Rank Method Family Months MAE RMSE Pearson

Refresh protocol

Weekly update cycle

  1. Monday refresh pull latest survey releases, market context, and macro inputs.
  2. Run ConsumerSim update regional predictions and compare against persistence baselines.
  3. Publish update regenerate this static site data file and redeploy.